What is HTC smoking because I want some? Some people at HTC made the shocking claim in an interview with eWeek. Again what are they smoking? They must be dreaming if they think they will sell 600,000 - 700,000 units of the HTC Dream Smart phone that will be powered by the Google Android OS between late October 2008 and December 31s 2008.

Do they think they are Apple with a new iPhone? They are nothing but a white label cell phone maker that is only in the recent year or two trying to make a name for themselves, but more people are calling it the Google Phone than the HTC Dream. No one really cares that HTC made the phone or that it’s on T-Mobile all they care is that Google made the OS and people aren’t going to buy it for that especially at $199.

The HTC Dream will not sell 600,000 - 700,000 units between late October and December 31s 2008, most of the hype about the phone is the fact it is running Googles Android, and no one really gives a damn except for the tech community, and sure the tech community might buy it, if they already didn’t own iPhones. I predict that Android will sell 100,000 - 300,000 from the day it goes on sale in late October - December 31st 2008. Oh wait I forget I need to count every single Google Employee that would buy one, oh and maybe Google might buy one for every single Homeless Person in San Fransisco, since they recently gave them all phone numbers and voicemails. Maybe that is where HTC got the number, adding up all the Google Employees and th Homeless people they buy them for.

I go to events all the time with people from the tech community and there are so many iPhones present that when one rings everyone is reaching in their pockets to see if its theirs that is ringing, the people interested in the Google Android OS (because they aren’t really into the phone) aren’t going to switch to T-Mobile and get an HTC Dream when they are more than Happy with their iPhone. Plus the 200 dollar price point isn’t as attractive as one would hope.

HTC you will not sell 600,000 - 700,000 HTC Dream Smart Phones stop dreaming. T-Mobile your 3G network sucks, I know I beta tested it in the NYC area and I doubt any of the problems have been fixed especially in the areas out side of Manhattan, hell even in Manhattan it wasn’t that reliable. Google, you were better off sucking up to Palm and getting a Treo Powered by Android, I could see 600 - 700,000 Palm Treo Androids being sold in less then 3 months.

I personally just don’t see it, I don’t think the supposed Hype is that big and I think HTC, Google and T-Mobile will all be disappointed. I am a huge fan of HTC and T-Mobile but I just don’t see it.